Market psychology

Market psychology

The power of emotions

The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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Euro Break-up Index

Euro Break-up Index

Will the Euro break-up?

What's the risk that the Euro breaks up? Which country is the most exposed? Whats the routes of infection?

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sentix Community

sentix Community

Take part in our surveys!

Join the sentix Global Investor Survey and improve your trading results!

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First mover advantage

First mover advantage

Be the earliest bird in town...

Know what more than 4500 investors expecting worldwide - almost in real time.

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Sentiment research

Sentiment research

Professionally and accurately!

Weekly analysis of current market sentiment in German and English - for active participants free of charge!

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

Indicators on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities

Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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Frontpage Slideshow | Copyright © 2006-2011 JoomlaWorks Ltd.

Investors in the oil market view the downtrend to continue

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Since early May, oil prices have come under pressure again. Meanwhile, the lows from the beginning of the year have been reached again. This has not only pushed the sentiment to a bearish extreme but now also means that investors tend to extrapolate the negative trend. The sentix Overconfidence Index indicates this. This could support the oil prices in the short term.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 31-2015

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There are no translations available.

Contrarian-Signale an den Rohstoffmärkten

Die Rohstoffmärkte stehen gewaltig unter Druck. Während Gold und Silber bereits ihre bisherigen Jahrestiefs unterschritten haben, notiert das Rohöl derzeit genau wieder auf den Tiefständen von Januar dieses Jahres. Parallel dazu hat sich die Stimmung massiv eingetrübt und inzwischen pessimistische Extremwerte erreicht. Das alleine reicht als Contrarian-Signal jedoch nur dann aus, wenn sich gleichzeitig eine Wertwahrnehmung einstellt. Mit Blick auf die sentix-Headline-Indizes für den Strategischen Bias von Gold und Öl kommt da noch keine Hoffnung auf. Interessant wird ein Blick in die Details.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: Aktien China, Gold, Öl

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

sentix ASR Essentials 31-2015

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Broken China sentiment

The latest sentix survey underlines the degree to which investors have lost faith in the Chinese equity market after recent sharp index reversals. Sentiment readings remain in a downward spiral and are now at historic lows. At the same time, survey participants are becoming ever-more downbeat on the market in terms of their medium-term strategic bias (see Charts 2 & 3, page 2). This latter development may be constraint for any rally in the market from its deep pessimism condition. We noted last week that widespread pessimism on Emerging Equity Markets as an asset class chimes with negative sentiment on Commodities. However, the latest survey provides a modest beacon amidst the prevailing Commodity gloom, with near-term pessimism on Gold having become a little less extreme in the past week (Chart 4).

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“Grescue” amplifies centrifugal forces in the core zone

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In July, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) falls from 48.4% to 26.5%, its lowest reading in six months. The reason for this is the rescue of Greece which lets the Hellenic index drop sharply. But against the general trend the EBI increase for Germany and Finland whose government bonds profit from the unresolved euro problems.

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sentix Investmentmeinung 30-2015

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Wird die Anspannung unerträglich?

Der sentix-Datenkranz offenbart ein enormes Spannungsfeld, in dem sich die Anleger befinden. Die Unterschiede in der strategischen Einschätzung zwischen einzelnen Anlageregionen sowie verschiedenen Anlageklassen hat weiter zugenommen und zehrt an den Nerven der Anleger. Sichtbar wird dies in stark steigenden Neutralitätsindizes für Aktien und Anleihen. Bislang halten die Anleger vor allem den heimischen Aktienmärkten die Treue. Parallel hat aber die Suche nach Indizien, die für eine Auflösung des Konfliktes sprechen, begonnen. Je nach Ausgang dieser Suche droht ein Falltüreffekt an den Märkten.

Geänderte Einschätzungen: China Aktien, US-Bonds, EUR-USD, Gold

Klicken Sie hier für die aktuelle Investmentmeinung (sentix Registrierung erforderlich)

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