Jahresausblick 2015 "Schöne neue Welt"

Jahresausblick 2015 "Schöne neue Welt"

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Was erwarten die Anleger für 2015? Wo liegen die Überraschungen und welche Themen sind entscheidend! Jetzt vorbestellen - ab 14.12.…

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Market psychology

Market psychology

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The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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sentix Community

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Sentiment research

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

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Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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sentix ASR Essentials 48-2014

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Emerging Market and Commodity bright-spots

The latest sentix survey indicates that investors are becoming increasingly downbeat on the medium-term outlook for Emerging Equity Markets as 2014 draws to a close, in an echo of the notable pessimism evident on Commodities as an asset class (albeit monthly survey readings are above their 2014 low point). However, behind their asset class preferences, there are a couple of noteworthy developments. Firstly, on the Emerging Markets front, survey respondents remain optimistic on the Chinese market from a medium-term, strategic viewpoint. Secondly, on Commodities, they are also becoming more upbeat on Crude in the medium-term. There are some brighter spots in the sentiment gloom that overhangs both Emerging Markets and Commodities as an asset class.

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Oil prices spin around investors’ sentiment

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The strong fall in oil prices leaves its traces in the sentix Sector Sentiment. On the one hand, the sentiment for European oil and gas stocks drops to an all-time low. The same holds true for basic resources shares. On the other hand, some also benefit from the cheaper "black gold". "Travel and Leisure" as well as "Consumer Goods" are among those for which investors' perspectives brighten.

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sentix ASR Essentials 47-2014

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Cyclicals sentiment upswing yet to reach Energy and Resources

The latest sentix survey suggests that investors' views on sectors have begun to shift in the last couple of months. On one hand, survey respondents have become less optimistic on the prospects for Telecoms and Healthcare versus the market. On the other, they are now less cautious on the six month outlook for Cyclical sectors such as Industrial Goods & Services, Autos and Chemicals. As yet, however, deep pessimism remains the dominant survey theme on Basic Resources and Energy. Such pessimism echoes the extreme negative near-term sentiment towards Crude Oil, though on this front there are signs that investors are becoming less pessimistic on a medium-term, more strategic perspective (see Charts 2 to 4, page 2).

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sentix Jahresausblick 2015

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There are no translations available.

Titelbild sentix Jahresausblick 2015Das Jahr 2014 neigt sich dem Ende zu - es wird Zeit, sich über die Strategie für 2015 Gedanken zu machen!

Der sentix Jahresausblick 2015 wirft einen Blick voraus auf das kommende Jahr und liefert wertvolle Themenanalysen sowie die sentix Jahresablaufpläne für eine Vielzahl von Anlagemärkten.

Highlights

Klicken Sie auf das Bild rechts für eine Leseprobe des letztjährigen Ausblicks!

Die lebendig unterhaltsame wie fachlich präzise Schreibweise und der methodisch ansprechende Aufbau mit vielen Charts, Bildern und Grafiken bereitet mir viel Vorfreude auf die Ausgabe 2015.

Gerade habe ich Ihren Jahresausblick das erste Mal durchgelesen - und es war sicherlich nicht das letzte Mal. Meine Hochachtung! Keiner weiß ja, wie alles kommt. Aber selten habe ich so viele ungewöhnliche und stimulierende Analysehappen gesehen wie hier, Kunden-Feedback zum sentix-Jahresausblick

Ich habe die Informationen mit Interesse gelesen und ich finde Ihre Analysen beeindruckend.

 

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Coup in Euroland!

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For the euro-area economy investors' 6-month expectations rise in December as strongly as only twice before in the history of the sentix Economic Index. Only in August 2005, ahead of German elections, and in February 2012, when the ECB was about to launch its second LTRO, more pronounced increases could be observed. Also, the assessment of the current situation improves which makes the composite index go up by 9.4 to now -2.5 points. With that, the sentix Economy Clock now points to an upswing for the euro zone!
For the remaining regions and countries the composite indices rise, too. The only exception is Japan. That the euro zone stands out so clearly this month should be due to the expectation that the ECB will start a large-scale as-set-buying programme soon. In addition, the weak euro and the fallen price of oil are obviously perceived as economic boosters. And the low oil price does have positive effects not only in the euro zone!

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