Market psychology

Market psychology

The power of emotions

The power of emotions affect prices and trends in the markets.

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Euro Break-up Risk Index

Euro Break-up Risk Index

Break the Euro?

What's the risk that the Euro breaks? Which country is the most exposed? Whats the routes of infection?

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sentix Community

sentix Community

Join us at the number 1!

Machen Sie mit bei der Nummer 1 und verbessern Sie Ihre Anlageergebnisse!

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First mover advantage

First mover advantage

Better informed and faster.

Know what more than 3,000 investors expecting worldwide - almost in real time.

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Sentiment research

Sentiment research

Professionally and accurately!

Weekly analysis of current market sentiment in German and English - for active participants free of charge!

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Broad spectrum

Broad spectrum

Indicators on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities

Sentiment on stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities - from institutional and private investors!

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sentix ASR Essentials 32-2014

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Persistent pessimism on the Euro versus USD

European assets have been at the centre of some notable summer sentiment setbacks. The latest sentix survey indicates that investor pessimism on the nearterm outlook for Eurozone equities and the single currency has become less notable, with readings pulling back from the extremes reached in the past month (see Chart 2). However, while the latest survey suggests that medium-term sentiment towards European equities may be beginning to revive, albeit modestly, the path of Euro/USD sentiment remains firmly downwards (Chart 4, page 2). Investors remain deeply pessimistic on the outlook for the Euro from a strategic perspective.

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EBI and economic expectations take separate ways

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In August, the sentix Euro Break-up Index (EBI) rises for the first time since December. But its increase by 0.6 points to 8.2% remains negligible. This holds all the more true if one considers how pronounced the recent fall of sentix economic expectations has been. Euro-zone government bonds thus remain an interesting asset class for investors. The sentix EBI data point to particularly good opportunities in Spanish titles.

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sentix ASR Essentials 31-2014

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Stocks scepticism rises

Currently FX markets are moving investors' emotions more than stocks or bonds. But crude oil is also sending a sentiment signal. Inves-tors have difficulties to understand the price behaviour of the "black gold" against the background of the crises in the Middle East and the Ukraine. An important factor is that the me-dium-term picture for stocks be-comes more and more blurred. This has already led to noteworthy portfolio adjustments.

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Sentiment for automobiles markedly down

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In August, sentix Sector Sentiment for European automobile stocks falls more strongly than for any other sector. Only a few months ago the same sector's sentiment had reached an all-time high. But falling economic expectations and a receding risk appetite now make investors more sceptical about the industry. Nevertheless, the data does not point to a contrarian opportunity yet.

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sentix ASR Essentials 30-2014

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Investors on the Defensive

The latest sentix survey indicates that investor sentiment towards equity markets remains undermined by recent reversals. At a market level, survey readings based on investors' opinion on the medium-term outlook have yet to reverse their recent declines. At a sector level, monthly questions on participants' views on European sectors in a relative context also reveal a further swing away from cyclical sectors such as Autos, Construction and Industrials, towards defensives such as Food & Beverage and Healthcare (see Charts 2 & 3, page 2). Investors appear to have firmly moved onto a defensive footing in terms of their sector preferences.

Click here for the full report (sentix registration necessary)
Click here for the results of the sentix Special survey regarding the investors positioning

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